The exit poll did not catch on

The elections were held - with what result is still not entirely clear. Instead, it became clear that exit polls have not taken root in our country. At least in the local elections: it is not by chance that the infamous "Democratic Initiatives" did not receive money from anyone to conduct an exit poll. Those "point" or "piecemeal" exit polls, which were voiced in yesterday's night broadcast, are interesting for only one thing. Namely, the story told by Savik Shuster, whose studio conducted its exit poll. He talked about a new "technology" that makes exit polls as such absolutely meaningless. Everything is very simple: the people who did not take part in the voting (and have nothing to do with the polling station) hang around the polling station, but when they see the interviewer (the one who conducts the exit poll), they rush to him with all their legs and tell, for who he "voted for". That's how it is, and also taking into account the huge percentage of "non-answers", and their "exit polls" come out, on the basis of which you can later start a scandal and not recognize the results.

However, nothing prevented the political power of the famous lady from "not recognizing" not only the election results, but also the exit poll. Like, everything is falsified, bought, violated and so on. This is their position - a position due to anticipation of low results. And if we take into account that "Batkivshchyna" seems to be in the opposition, then the "excellence" (or weak growth) of its ratings is very symptomatic, in contrast to the "excellence" of the ratings of the same regionals. Therefore, the refusal to recognize "everything in a row" on the part of the Tymoshenko people was quite predictable.

In a situation of unclear results, we have to talk about trends. The main trend of these elections is low turnout. So low that the officially announced results, even if not falsified, will still be distorted. Did the people get bored, did it affect the fact that, not for the first time, local elections are held without any accompanying ones. Conventionally speaking, the opinion of the part of voters who came to the elections will not fully reflect the opinion of the entire population of voters. And this "incompleteness" of measures at the 2010 elections will be significantly greater than the traditional deviation. As for "falsification" and "non-recognition", judging by the extremely calm voting process and the behavior of various observers, there will not be any particular problems. Despite the "preliminary indignation" of representatives of the "Motherland", for whom the positive evaluation of the elections by European observers was extremely unpleasant (Skhil, poor man, almost jumped out of his bed, accusing the members of the European Parliament of incompetence). By the way, these gentlemen talked so actively all night long on all TV channels about how the elections in Kharkiv were falsified, that it is hard not to believe them. Yes, it was falsified! And observers confirm it! But for some reason, all observers point to the Tymoshenko people as falsifiers. It was their mayoral candidate Avakov, judging by reports from the polling stations, who confused the election with Halloween...

Two more trends attract attention - which should probably be considered two manifestations of the same trend. On the one hand, we are talking about the supposedly high percentage of ultra-nationalists under Tyagnibok's leadership in the Galician regions. This presumably high percentage is, of course, largely explained by the fact that the Party of Regions expects to displace Tymoshenko with Tyagnibok - the all-round support and "leadership" of Svoboda by the "regionals" is obvious. However, this does not change the fact that Galician regions willingly vote for actual Nazis. And in addition to "regional" support, this is explained by a natural bias towards radicalism. Natural for a country that is going deeper and deeper into an "overcome" economic crisis. However, it cannot be considered natural that this bias is carried out towards right-wing radicalism. After all, ultra-nationalists, like any right-wing radicals, simply mimic left-wing slogans that are understandably popular in times of crisis. And it turns out that the voters of the western regions simply succumbed to external, apparently "close" signs, having fallen for a fake. Because history proved a long time ago: right-wing radicals only borrow slogans from the left. Performance of these slogans is not subject to borrowing.

And the other side of this trend is the results of the communists in the eastern and central regions. Despite the fact that the Party of Regions still attracts a significant part of the communist electorate (also "borrowing slogans"), the communists, according to preliminary data, gain about ten percent of the local councils, occupying the third place. In conditions of latent and manifest pressure, this result deserves attention. Although, of course, it is not a reason for euphoria, because, as before, the left electorate is not mobilized. There is still work to be done.